Predictions, Oscar and Otherwise

Last week was pretty interesting–and it should be even more interesting to find out what happens next.

First, we had a State of the Union message that, had I the capacity for despair, would’ve driven me to it. The president came across as a cynical poseur–a man who responds to the utter refudiation of his high-spending policies at the polls by making a few Reagan-like remarks, then calling for more spending.  Could make for a very ugly couple of years.

My prediction:  Democrats will try to maneuver Boehner into calling for spending cuts so that House Republicans can be excoriated as heartless…  but it won’t work, because Boehner is the canniest orange man alive–and the people realize our debt is an American crisis even if the president doesn’t or doesn’t care.

Then, there’s the whatever-it-is that’s going on in the Middle East. Could be the birth of a new world or the start of a nightmare beyond our wildest imagination.

My prediction – and this one’s easy:  if the Muslim Brotherhood take over, the media will say, “Oh, look, this is all because of George W. Bush’s Freedom Agenda,” whereas if the uprisings lead to more freedom and democracy…  why, W will have had nothing to do with it.

And of course, most importantly:  the Oscars.

I would not have thought it possible to make the celebration of the dying art of movies any more boring and irrelevant but, by gum, I underestimated the Academy. By doubling the number of nominated films, the Oscar folks meant to include films that human beings, as opposed to journalists, actually like.  I suppose they’ve accomplished that, but in doing so, they’ve also included every film that anyone could possibly think was deserving.  Thus leaving us nothing to talk and argue about.  Zzzzzzzz.

Anyway, here are my predicted winners:  The King’s Speech for best picture but David Fincher for Best Director, Colin Firth, Natalie Portman, Christian Bale and Melissa Leo.  Aaron Sorkin and David Seidler as writers.

Watch the show and tell me if I’m right.  I’ll be reading a book.

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  • Shanester

    When someone asked George C. Scott why he didn’t go to the Academy Awards to accept his Oscar for his portrayal of General George Patton in the movie Patton, he said that he didn’t feel himself to be in competition with other actors. Later, when there wasn’t so much press around, he said “The whole thing is a goddamn meat parade. I don’t want any part of it.”

    I can’t really blame you for reading a book when it’s on. In fact, I think I’ll be playing Doom on my computer.

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